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5 percent to 3 percent of your total equity exposure would be in Frontier Markets. Even that small percentage will help reduce the overall volatility of your portfolio, given the non-correlation between Frontier Markets as well as between Frontier and Emerging and developed markets. Chapter 1: Forging into New Investment Frontiers If the these markets perform as well as the Emerging Markets have done over the last decade then within a few years, this percentage could easily have doubled or increased by 50 percent or more.
The economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China have diverged in their progress over the decade since he coined it, with Russia and Brazil having large resource sectors that have driven their economic growth, as opposed to China’s focus on capital investment and the export of manufactured goods, or the growth of India’s large domestic consumer market. ’s over the last 15 years, while both India and Russia have huge financial issues to reconcile. Brazil’s economic growth has recently slowed sharply to only 1 percent in 2012, but could recover with the upcoming soccer World Cup competition in summer 2014 and the 2016 Summer Olympics.
Of course not all of this would be achieved by share prices rising, as many new companies would be listed on their stock markets, but nonetheless, the opportunity exists for the Frontier Markets to repeat the strong performance of the Emerging Markets over the last 15 years. Market capitalization in the way we use the term here has two definitions: ✓ The total value of publicly traded shares in a country ✓ The total value of an individual company’s publicly traded shares In the next few sections, we look at these factors in order to see which regions look most attractive and likely to produce superior returns over the next 10 to 15 years.